By 2050, the global number of people with diabetes aged 20–79 is projected to rise to 853 million, a 45% increase from 2024. Africa is expected to see the highest surge, with a 145% rise, while Europe will have the smallest increase at 10%. South-East Asia and the Middle East & North Africa will also face substantial increases of 73% and 92%, respectively. While North America with 21% rise; South and central America will have 45% rise. These trends highlight a growing global health challenge that requires urgent attention and strategic intervention.

According to the 2024 IDF Diabetes Atlas:

  • 1 in 9 adults aged 20–79 years (589 million people) are living with diabetes. 
  • Impaired glucose tolerance affects 1 in 8 adults (635 million people).
  • 1 in 11 adults have impaired fasting glucose while 1 in 4 adults over 65 years has diabetes.
  • Alarmingly, 4 in 10 adults with diabetes remain undiagnosed, totaling 252 million people. 
  • Additionally, 3.4 million deaths are attributed to diabetes.
  • 11.9% of global health expenditure with over USD 1 trillion is dedicated to diabetes care.

High- and middle-income countries showed substantially high prevalence of diabetes with increasing age compared to low-income countries. In 2024, Africa and South-East Asia have the highest number of adults with undiagnosed diabetes. The proportion of undiagnosed cases is particularly elevated in the African region, exceeding 70%.

Conclusion:

In 2024, the IDF 11th edition of the Atlas estimates that 1/9 people aged 20-79 have diabetes. This equates to 589 million people in the world. It is anticipated that this number will increase to 853 million by 2050. Over 1 trillion USD was spent on diabetes in 2024; this represents 1.2% global health expenditure. There are still gaps in the estimates due to absent and low-quality data in some parts of the world. There is a strong need for effective intervention strategies and policies to stall the increase in the number of people developing diabetes.